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News of Netanyahu’s Political Death Might Have Been Greatly Exaggerated. As Maine Goes, So Go the Parties. El-Sayed’s Bananas Campaign. What’s With the Sympathy for Killer Moms? More

It appears that the political obituaries for embattled Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu might have been premature.

The Wall Street Journal has Netanyahu holding on as election results at this point show no clear winner:

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud party moved into the lead position in Israel’s election Wednesday morning, denying his opponents a victory but still sitting short of a majority that would return his coalition to power.

The partial results could still fluctuate in the hours and days ahead as more votes are counted. But his showing gives the prime minister a solid position for the high-stakes showdown in the coming weeks over whether he will stay in office.

No doubt Republicans are taking heart from this state of affairs that reports of a blue wave here won’t materialize. “The seven races that will decide control of the Senate” in the Washington Post admits that “tight contests in a handful of states, making it hard to tell whether Democrats or Republicans will prevail next week.” As Maine goes … A Wall Street Journal headline headlined “Why Maine Is a 2026 Senate Bellwether” suggests that the choice between moderate Republican Senator Susan Collins and leftist Democrat Troy Jackson will influence the future direction of both parties:

A Jackson victory, along with one by Mr. El-Sayed in Michigan, will advance the left’s growing strength in the Democratic Party. More Democratic socialists will run in primaries. And Ms. Ocasio-Cortez might take it as a signal to run for President rather than against Mr. Schumer for Senate in New York.

If Ms. Collins wins, it would show that an independent-minded Republican can survive even in a Democratic-leaning state. The same goes for Republican John Sununu in New Hampshire. If they lose, Senate polarization will increase and compromise on spending and other policies is far less likely.

The Maine race is essentially tied, and Ms. Collins has the burden of Mr. Trump’s unpopularity. The irony is that as a centrist Republican in a closely divided Senate, she’d be a better check on Mr. Trump’s excesses than Mr. Jackson would be as one more left-wing backbencher.

The Abdul El-Sayed campaign for the Senate went bananas this week with an ad blaming Jews for higher grocery prices (including for bananas). The Free Press’ Eli Lake writes about “Abdul El-Sayed and the Banana Libel“:

In an ad from a pro–El-Sayed PAC, a couple complains that they cannot afford groceries because of Israel. Why won’t the candidate denounce the grotesque clip?

“Blaming the Jews for Everything in Michigan” is the headline over a Wall Street Journal editorial:

A common theme of antisemites throughout history is to blame the Jews for any and every social ill. The Nazis famously scapegoated them for Germany’s hyperinflation during the 1920s. And now this trope has reappeared in America, with a new ad by a leftwing group for Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed that blames grocery prices on U.S. support for Israel. …

Restaurant critic and former President Barack Obama, winner of the James Beard-Marie Antoinette Critics Circle Award, has been campaigning for El-Sayed. Batya Ungar-Sargon isn’t biting: She contends that Obama’s comparison of questions about El-Sayed’s apparent family ties to the Muslim Brotherhood to the “kooky” and racist birther movement is wrong. 

Meanwhile, Florida Senate hopeful and DSA stalwart Angie Nixon was asked if Cuba is a dictatorship. Well, to her knowledge …  

“You know, that is what people have told me. I have never been to Cuba, and so I will have to take their word for it,” Nixon told CBS News when asked directly whether she considers Cuba a dictatorship.

Has Ms. Nixon gotten wind of this yet? “A Cuba Showdown at the U.N.” “Havana’s bullies try to shut up U.S. Ambassador Mike Waltz for calling out the regime’s corruption”:

U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Mike Waltz keeps making the right enemies. On Tuesday he was back on the General Assembly podium seeking to expose the private wealth and corruption of Cuba’s Communist officials. This so riled the Cuban foreign minister and his subordinates that they marched all the way to the stage to shout and harangue. But the stunt backfired.

“Mr. President, this individual needs to back away from this podium,” the U.S. Ambassador said. “He’s not going to intimidate me, in the United States of America, like he tries to intimidate political prisoners.”

“Why All the Sympathy for Moms Who Kill?” asks The Free Press. Author Kat Rosenfield finds a recent New Yorker essay that humanizes a woman who said she let her toddler die, then burned his body, disturbing:

As the summer of suicidal empathy gives way to the fall of the copycat child killer, I find myself engaged in the bleakest of thought experiments. Namely: I am trying to imagine a world in which the male perpetrators of sensational crimes enjoyed the same cultural status as their female counterparts.

It would be a hell of a place, that world—emphasis on hell—replete with disturbing spectacles and dark absurdities alike. I picture men dressed up in baby blue and demonstrating en masse outside the courthouse in support of Chris Watts, who in 2018 murdered his entire family, hiding the bodies of his toddler-age daughters inside a pair of industrial oil tanks.

That’s a difficult item to follow. I’m going to go with Lionel Shriver’s “What do progressives really want?” in the New Criterion, but helpfully reprinted in its entirety at RCP (here). Maybe Shriver can shed some light on society’s predicament:

In our naiveté, vanity, arrogance, historical ignorance, provincialism, psychological cluelessness, entitled prosperity, and political gullibility, my peers and I sowed the seeds for both “woke” and democratic socialism—the DSA being a seemingly separate case, but still of a piece. As a teenager, I wore beads and bell bottoms, I went to protests, and I dutifully deplored my own country. The state of the American Left is partly my fault. …

Despite their paying endless lip service to protecting the “vulnerable,” progressives’ driving emotions are negative. These people are striving less to realize a Shangri-la than to destroy what, and more particularly whom, they revile. Those hippie-era origins are embarrassing, but at least the Sixties’ love-not-war cliches, the era’s experimental sex and better living through chemistry, did project a credible glint of sunlit uplands.

Uh-oh. More evidence that men and women might be different. In “Thank God for Brave Men,” Free Expression’s Louise Perry argues, “Women don’t typically run toward danger the way Kaylub Giamanco did to stop a school shooting in Bend, Ore.” Point to Ponder:

What if Mr. Gallant’s actions [which included being convicted of murder for stopping a terrorist with a fire extinguisher abd narwhal tusk] weren’t a sign of “change,” but the opposite? What if the instinct to use violence to defend the innocent, and the instinct to use violence per se are, in some men, intertwined? How can we encourage such men to channel their instincts for violence, aggression and courage toward good rather than evil?

“Bob Woodward Loved a Good ‘Squish’.” Watergate reporter Bob Woodward has written another book in which he deplores Post owner Jeff Bezos (natch) and reveals the identities of his secret sources, who are largely unable to defend themselves, being dead and all. Tevi Troy comments:

Seeing a number of Mr. Woodward’s sources revealed at once shows that they tended to be on the “squish,” or liberal, side in the liberal-versus-conservative divide in the GOP administrations of that era. Other exposed leakers include Bush Secretary of State Lawrence Eagleburger and two-time national security adviser Brent Scowcroft. For decades, conservatives in and out of administrations have bristled at the superior coverage that the squishes got in places like the Post. While they suspected that leaking played a role, the scale that Mr. Woodward has now described is shocking. Scowcroft, for example, was a “secret source for 35 years.”

Former CBS and Fox investigative reporter Catherine Herridge, meanwhile, refuses to reveal her sources, even when forced to pay an $800-a-day fine for her refusal to reveal her sources. Herridge deserves a Pulitzer (Woodward has several of these) instead of a fine, notes George Washington University law professor and Fox Contributor Jonathan Turley, who asks the Supreme Court to review Herridge’s case. It’s a matter of journalistic integrity.

Save the Children? Flock cameras raise legitimate privacy concerns, but Charles Fain Lehman writes in City Journal about “The Children Saved by Flock.” Lehman’sargument:  

Automated license plate readers have become a political flashpoint. No one talks about the dozens of children they’ve rescued.

Will Netanyahu Survive? Obama: Cheesecake Factory Is Tacky. But Not Commie Candidates. Jews Blamed for High Cost of Food. Catholic Bishops: We Wuz Tricked into Praying with DJT. More

While we’re wrapped up in our own midterms, Israel is voting today in its first election since October 7. Turnout is massive.

“Israel braces for an election each side warns could bring ruin,” according to Axios. Sound familiar? Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is in the fight of his life. The man most likely to replace Netanyahu, if he doesn’t make it, is Gadi Eisenkot.

“His Son Was Killed in Gaza. He Could Be Israel’s Next Leader,” is the Free Press headline. The Free Press elaborates:

Gadi Eisenkot is a former IDF leader who rarely wears a suit, avoids political grandstanding, and says little about himself. And he’s leading in polls against Israel’s longest-serving prime minister.

President Trump has endorsed Netanyahu. Twice. “When you go to the polls, please remember that Bibi [Netanyahu] has been an outstanding Warrior Prime Minister!” Trump wrote. This is an allusion to Israel’s and the U.S.’s sometimes rocky cooperation regarding Iran. Netanyahu stirs strong emotions. “Why Netanyahu Could—and Should—Win” is the headline on a Free Press piece by Gadi Taub. “Benjamin Netanyahu faces the fight of his life as Israelis head to the polls – to stay in office and out of jail” is the subtitle of a U.K. Telegraph piece by Henry Bodkin, the Telegraph’s Jerusalem correspondent. A Wall Street  Journal story takes a more eirenic approach: “Netanyahu and His Main Opponent Disagree on Many Things—but Not Israel’s Security.” Thousands of Israeli expats have flown to Israel to cast their votes.

A report in the Washington Post suggests that, with President Trump’s backing, Netanyahu could lose the election and remain leader of a divided Israel. Israeli national security expert Dan Schueftan, who has advised every Prime Minister since Menachem Begin, tells Free Expression, “Israel is the only place in the world today where a free society has a young generation that’s willing to fight for freedom.”

Closer to home, Barack Obama is campaigning for Michigan Senate hopeful Abdul El Sayed. The former President is also dispensing helpful tips on upper-class tastes (“Obama Goes Socialist, Scorns Cheesecake“):

President Obama has delivered another condescending classic. Campaigning for Democrats in Ohio this weekend, he said that President Trump’s redecorations have the White House “looking like Saddam Hussein opened a Cheesecake Factory.” The same day, Mr. Obama endorsed a socialist as Florida’s next U.S. Senator.

Making fun of chain restaurants is quite an angle for Democrats, who keep insisting that they haven’t forgotten the working man in Middle America. The Cheesecake Factory has a couple of hundred locations, the company says, so it must be doing something deliciously right. But to all of those diners in Cleveland, Grand Rapids, and beyond, here’s Mr. Obama’s message: How déclassé.

“Yes, We Have No Bananas.” That’s the Atlantic headline on David Frum’s piece about the political ad that blames Jews for the high price of food. The subhead is “Please don’t blame the Jews.” Frum quotes the ad:

Maybe you’ve seen the ad: A man and a woman are loading a shopping cart. The woman tells the man he must return a carton of eggs. “We have to set that $7 aside for killing Palestinians.”

The woman explains that grocery prices are rising because the United States gives so much aid to Israel. “It’s costing us a lot of money to drop bombs on Gaza,” the woman explains. “Don’t they get universal health care too?” the man asks. “We’re paying for that, too, probably,” the woman responds, at which point the man puts back the bananas.

As Frum points out, the ad was produced by an independent PAC supporting Abdul El-Sayed. Frum takes note of El-Sayed’s denunciations of “supporters of Israel” during the campaign and says that the PAC “is reviving it for him only a week before the general election.” I can’t tell you more because the ad is behind the Atlantic’s paywall. From a New York Post story by Leil Leibovitz, I gather the ad was produced by Cenk Uygur, which gives El-Sayed deniability. Leibovitz calls the ad “unapologetically Nazi drivel blaming Jews for everything bad.”

Is New York’s socialist Mayor Zohran Mamdani the bulwark against a blue wave? “Blue states like New York might dash Democrats’ Blue Wave dreams” is the headline over an Isaac Schorr story in the New York Post:

It’s not just a pipe dream.

The paradox is this: Nationally, polls show voters are dissatisfied with the ever-increasing cost of living, tired of President Donald Trump’s act and ready to punish the GOP.

But in places where unified Democratic control of state government has proven disastrous, there’s a lot less optimism about what Democrats would really do with still more power.

Is the grass really greener on the other side? Their lives are proof to the contrary.

Bless me, Father, for I have sinned … I prayed with Donald Trump. Milwaukee archbishop Jeffrey Grob, who prayed with Trump. apologizes, says bishops were “manipulated.” Don’t ya hate it when you get manipulated into praying?

More Midterm-related Stuff. “Bernie Sanders could soon get a powerful perch to help shape 2028” is a Politico headline. Iran looms over the midterms. Brookings (!) foreign policy authority Michael O’Hanlon pens an encouraging WSJ op-ed (“Slow and Steady Can Defeat Iran”). Crime update: “Trump’s Deportations Are Making America Safer,” by Jarrett Stepman:

The restoration of law and order in America is happening in large part because of President Donald Trump, in particular, his insistence that immigration laws be enforced and criminal illegal aliens be deported.

The administration should double and triple down on this message. America’s return to normalcy is contingent on making border security and deportations a top priority.

This much is undeniable: Trump’s deportations and focus on border security have run alongside a remarkable national drop in crime. To dismiss this as a mere coincidence is as absurd as when we were told there was no crime surge following the George Floyd riots and police defunding in 2020 and the explosion of border crossings during the Joe Biden presidency.

“Georgia Governor Race: It’s Murder When Keisha Lance Bottoms Is in Charge.” Ms. Bottoms, a Democrat, is running for Governor against Republican Rick Jackson. This story from Restoration News cites interesting crime stats from Bottoms’ tenure as Mayor of Atlanta.

If you thought the transgender movement had peaked, think again. “Drastic Rise in Transgender-Related Diagnoses Among Washington Youth” is a City Journal article by the invaluable Leor Sapir. Sapir uses a Manhattan Institute data analysis that shows a high number of children and teens, particularly girls, receiving transgender-related diagnoses in the state from 2017 to 2023:

Having better data on the prevalence of transgender-related diagnoses among youth is especially important because diagnosis opens the door to medical interventions—puberty blockers, cross-sex hormones, and surgeries—with potentially irreversible, lifelong consequences. Systematic reviews of evidence—the gold standard in evidence-based medicine—have found a lack of credible proof for benefits from puberty blockers, cross-sex hormones, and the most common surgery, mastectomy.

Ms. Must’s Soapbox: I’ve had a bee in my bonnet about AOC’s giddy remark on why she supports trans-identifying biological males in women’s sports. She said it was because she is a “girl’s girl.” What does that even mean? It’s a nonsense answer worthy of Kamala Harris. But it hasn’t stopped AOC from prepping for 2028.

Halloween-appropriate. In “What Haunted George Orwell” at Free Expression, John J. Miller recounts that the English author “may have seen a ghost—and never fully gave up on the possibility of the transcendent.” Miller writes:

The strange encounter took place late on a summer day in a cemetery. Orwell’s description of it survives in a single letter. “I want to get it on paper before I forget the details,” he wrote in 1931 to a friend, Dennis Collings….

Although Orwell is often described as an atheist, he may have had a faith that flickered but never quite went out. Orwell observed in 1944 that “the belief in life after death” is in decline. “Its disappearance has left a big hole,” he added. Mankind “is not likely to salvage civilization unless he can evolve a system of good and evil which is independent of heaven and hell.” The trouble is that the alternatives to religion disappoint.

Speaking of belief, Bill McGurn has a great column in which he argues that one reason for the French riots is that the French no longer have religious beliefs. “It fancies itself the model of modernity yet is descending into atavistic violence,” argues McGurn.

Why We Love Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent: Don’t miss Bessent leaving a Cheesecake Factory, where he admits to having enjoyed the French dip cheeseburger, his favorite.

The man can’t be bullied! He has choice remarks about the aesthetics of Obama’s library.

Foreign Affairs: Lula Wins. Machado Returns. Europe Still Burning. Beasts Attack Coliseum. Why Is Trump Going Where He’s Going? Irrational Cornell. Kiss of the Spider Granny? And More

Yes, the all-important midterms are a week from tomorrow, but we must go abroad first thing this morning: Europe is still burning (here also) and so, apparently, is Brazil’s stock market, which is set for a historic selloff after Brazil’s President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, 80, clung to power in Brazil’s presidential election yesterday.

Lula thanked the voters for his surprise win over conservative Trump ally Jair Bolsonaro. Lula might also have thanked the judge (previous link):  

The victory came after da Silva’s Workers’ Party requested that voting be extended Sunday, after reports that some local governments had reduced the number of buses serving poorer voters, who tend to support the president.

That request was granted by Supreme Court Justice Cristiano Zanin—a decision that came a minute after voting was supposed to end, prompting chaos at some polling stations. While Bolsonaro’s camp also requested an extension to voting in some parts of the country because of flooding, the move by Zanin, who served as da Silva’s personal defense lawyer during the so-called Car Wash corruption scandal that entangled the leftist, drew criticism of bias.

The Wall Street Journal’s Latin America columnist Mary Anastasia O’Grady comments:

That Lula prevailed may be a testament to the power of the public purse to buy the support of voters hurt by Lula’s policies. Now the question is when he will run out of other people’s money.

At great peril to her life, Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado has returned to Venezuela, where she is being greeted as a returning hero. A Wall Street Journal editorial contends that she needs President Trump’s help (remember she gave him her Nobel Prize). Her return argues for an early election date and process, according to the editorial. Powerline, which notes that her first appearance was at a church, wishes her “all the luck in the world.”

Instead of devouring Christians inside Rome’s Coliseum, this time the ravening beasts stormed the gates to the ancient structure waving Palestinian flags. Will Europe’s riots come to the U.S.? David Harsanyi writes that Democrats are “scheming” to “turn the U.S. into France riots and all.” Harsanyi writes that it starts with a country spending more money than it has:

Many of those riots have been driven by reliance on government handouts or by Muslims living in the Paris suburbs.

The more you hook people on state dependency, the less likely they are to break free of it.

“France ‘on the Brink of Civil War’” is the headline of a Wall Street Journal weekend feature that included an interview with the philosopher Bernard-Henri Lévy. The “moral meltdown” and torching of a historic town hall in Limoges “has broken Mr. Lévy’s heart:”

“For French people who do not believe in heaven, the fire at Limoges is a kind of secular counterpart to the fire at Notre-Dame in Paris,” Mr. Lévy says, referring to the destruction of much of the storied cathedral seven years ago. “When the dome of Limoges town hall went up in flames and came crashing down, it was not just a roof that collapsed. A little of the soul of France.

“Welcome to the era of champagne jihadism,” by Heydon Prowse at Spiked Online, proposes that the French riots show that “violent anti-Westernism is now de rigueur among bourgeois leftists.” Prowse writes:

The GQ poster boy of this movement is multimillionaire Hasan Piker, who has proclaimed that America deserved 9/11, that his favourite flag is Hezbollah’s and that he would ‘vote for Hamas over Israel’. Awkwardly, if he lived under Hamas, he wouldn’t be able to vote for anyone. …

But the rioters are not destroying capitalism – one Bangladeshi phone shop at a time – for the love of la patrie. They’re doing it for Palestine, the flag of which has largely replaced the tricolore during the riots. … Whether it’s the suffering of ordinary Gazans under Hamas or the destruction of an immigrant’s livelihood in Paris, the revolution demands sacrifice. Preferably someone else’s.

Also, at Spiked Online, the great Julie Burchill writes about “the ‘homicidal empathy’ of the Islamo-left,” a play on Gad Saad’s “suicidal empathy.” “Do progressives get a sado-masochistic thrill out of being doormats for terrorists?” the story asks.

Time to come home to America and the midterms. The Wall Street Journal’s Philip Wegman gives us “eleven hours of Trump” (Ms. Must gets more than that every day simply by staying tuned to Fox) by taking us behind the scenes at the rallies. Meanwhile, Examiner Chief Political Correspondent Byron York explores “the logic behind Trump’s ‘pretend I’m on the ballot’ appeal“:

Why go to the place where Republicans are guaranteed a solid win? Why not campaign in a part of Iowa where the GOP needs help, needs to improve its performance?

The answer is low-propensity voters. … They are the kind who probably wouldn’t turn out for a midterm election in 2026 with no Trump on the ballot. The GOP challenge is how to get their votes this time.

Conservative radio host Erick Erickson gets the lead spot at The Free Press to advise voters: “Don’t Eat the Shit Sandwich.” “Both parties ask their supporters to accept vile candidates every two years. They say the stakes are too high to refuse, but nothing will improve unless more of us do,” claims Erickson, who is sitting out the Georgia Senate Race (Ossoff and Collins) this year. Victor Davis Hanson strongly disagrees with Erickson: “No ordinary midterm — this election is a stark choice for America’s future” is VDH’s take. Just a question for Mr. Erickson: Would you make the same choice if you lived in Michigan? Just for fun (sort of): Jonah Goldberg says that “the problem with our politics is ‘very left-wing White women’ and ‘very right-wing White men.’“

“Cornell’s Real Crisis Is Irrationalism, Not Rape” is City Journal’s headline on Heather Mac Donald’s latest. A snippet:

Why are female Cornell students saying that they feel unsafe on campus? Because they are surrounded by adults who are just as unhinged as they are.

On October 28, the Cornell Faculty Senate will vote on a resolution of no confidence in the university administration. The instigator of that resolution, the director of Cornell’s Latina/o Studies graduate program, published his argument for censure in the student newspaper on Friday. A week before, more than 200 Cornell professors released a manifesto expressing their “outrage” at Cornell’s alleged rape culture….

If you want to understand the co-dependency between self-engrossed students and self-indulgent faculty, these two documents tell you all that you need to know….

The faculty apologize to the students with an unctuousness worthy of a Tartuffe. “We [failed] to create spaces where you feel safe to share your experiences,” they write to their fellow players in this melodrama of victimhood.

The perils of one-party rule. “One-Party D.C. Is Ducking the Big Issues”: “A long era of Democratic governance has made a foie gras ban [on D.C. menus] seem important.” Nic Rowan reports on the quack polling on the issue:

Initiative 86, as the proposed ban is called, will probably pass by a wide margin. Despite Washington’s penchant for foie gras, nearly 80% of surveyed residents, when asked to consider the ethics of its production, admit feeling queasy about the force-feeding of ducks and geese. But the polling, which was conducted by the special interest group behind the ban, may not tell the whole story. In my experience, even those who say they support the ban often can’t resist the French delicacy.

“When Grandmothers Attack.” “The Irish government funds an ad that implies a kiss from your grandparents could constitute abuse.” Yet another downer: Dominic Green reveals “How Agentic AI Could Destroy Civilization.” Well, it was nice while it lasted. Favorite Newsmaker of the Day: An adorable runaway cow who sparked a police chase through a New York town:

Put your hooves where I can see them!

A runaway cow sparked a police chase through a New York town — and even escaped an attempt to lasso her as she quickly trotted down a roadway.

Maggie, a 4-year-old Highland cow, escaped from Little Cabin’s Farm in Carmel on Tuesday and ran loose across the quiet Putnam County suburb over the weekend, News12 reported.

Maggie is saved and reunited with her calf. No charges, which in this instance is as it should be. 

What Is Ilhan Omar’s Real Name? New York’s Adult Day Care Scam. Columnist: Yes, French Riots Are Caused by Immigration. Le Pen. Polls. Legislator’s Bucket List. More

Do you know if you ever married your brother?

When Rep. Ilhan Omar was asked this seemingly innocent question, she eschewed a clarifying “yes” or “no.” Kirsten Fleming writes:

Embattled Congresswoman Ilhan Omar’s usual bravado disappeared on Wednesday night as she was forced to answer the question that so many of us have grappled with: Did you marry your brother?

In the bizarre exchange with MS NOW’s Chris Hayes, the Squadette turned meek and uncomfortable as the topic turned to her second husband, Ahmed Nur Said Elmi, her alleged brother-husband.

The story that she tied the knot with her sibling, she said, “started with the Somali blog . . . Somebody put it there, that he had to have been my brother or something to that effect. And right wing conspiracy theorists in Minneapolis got a hold of it.”

Then Hayes asked if she was related to her now ex hubby at all.

“Not to my knowledge,” she said, squirming like a toddler.

Not to her knowledge, folks.

Meanwhile, George Washington University law professor and Fox Contributor Jonathan Turley lists the unasked questions that Chris Hayes should have asked Omar. 

Oh, and Ilhan Omar might not be her real name. A “bombshell” filing in federal court, released in connection with an immigration fraud investigation into Omar, says Omar is not her real last name. Elmi, same as the alleged brother-hubby, appears to be the real last name of the Minnesota congresswoman. Could Omar be in the United States illegally? The feds reportedly have obtained DNA purported evidence of both brotherly love and immigration fraud. I am going to go out on a limb and suggest (based solely on a picture of bro-hubby) that the “marriage” was platonic. Omar-Elmi is fundraising on the scandal. Don’t miss “Listen, Ilhan Omar — if that really is your name,” a fun Powerline post by inveterate Ilhan watcher Scott Johnson. Johnson also scrutinizes three clues in the Omar/Elmi case.

The Trump administration’s war on entitlement fraud isn’t getting enough ink (probably because the mainstream inksters tend to support expanding entitlements). “Trump’s ‘war on fraud’ isn’t just about scams — it’s about restoring America’s trust,” is the headline of a New York Post story. The story observes that “fraud has become almost a byword within federal programs meant to help the most vulnerable.” An editorial in the Wall Street Journal headlined “New York’s Adult Day Care Racket” shows how President Trump and Dr. Mehmet Oz are trying to force Albany to clean up the state’s rampant Medicaid fraud:

What is social adult day care, you might ask? These centers are supposed to provide meals, personal care and social activities to “functionally impaired” adults. Anyone who claims to need assistance with everyday activities or “supervision due to cognitive and/or psycho-social impairment” can qualify. Such broad eligibility is ripe for abuse.

CMS officials said centers paid seniors kickbacks up to $1,000 a month to enroll in their programs and then billed Medicaid for services not provided. In some cases, sign-in sheets at centers documenting a senior’s attendance were filled out in advance. The schemes resemble the Medicaid fraud in Minnesota for autism therapy and housing services.

Similar runaway entitlements are factors in the French riots (“France Is Running Out of Other People’s Money“). Immigration may be an even more powerful factor, as John Daniel Davidson of The Federalist writes in “Yes, The Riots in France Are Because Of Mass Immigration“:

In these smaller towns we beheld the fruits of a failed French immigration policy that stretched back decades, to the 1960s and 70s when large numbers of migrants began arriving in France from North Africa. This cohort and their children and grandchildren never assimilated to life in France, never became Frenchmen in any meaningful way. After two or three generations, they are still clustered in their own neighborhoods, insular and unacculturated to their host country.

…. In Béziers, we went looking for an old Catholic Church we’d read about in some travel guide. It turned out to be in a migrant neighborhood, where a group of Muslim North African men followed us for blocks yelling at us to leave. We saw no women on the street, anywhere in that part of the city. The entire place, it seemed to us, was a vast migrant slum erected on the ruins of French civilization. …

There is only one course of action France can take to save itself, and it’s the same course of action that every western country must now take, since every western country has for decades embraced a policy of mass migration, together with multiculturalism and non-assimilation. All of them must go. Mass deportations, mass remigration, total closure of the borders.

Heather Mac Donald has a great X post on the MSM’s “fuming” that Marine Le Pen, longtime foe of unbridled immigration and head of France’s National Rally party, is “exploiting” the riots for political gain (best place to read the entire post is here). Wall Street Journal columnist Joseph Sternberg is skeptical that even Le Pen can do what John Daniel Davidson (above) says must be done:

What conservatives in France and elsewhere really want from her is an overhaul of France’s failed immigration system and a revival of confidence in French political and cultural traditions. Ahem. Does France have the state capacity—and do the millions of French who won’t vote for Ms. Le Pen have the stomach—to uproot France’s problematic migrant communities wholesale?

Meanwhile, I’m thinking that this is one illegal alien who failed to assimilate: “Illegal Alien Reportedly Arrested for Beheading Iwo Jima Monument in Virginia.” He was a dreamer:

Miguel Alonso Maldonado Soriono, 27, of Mexico, entered the U.S. in 1999 and was granted Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals status until the Trump administration ended it, Fox News reported.

Kudos to naughty Ann Coulter for an X post:

Virginia man: Miguel Alonso Maldonado Soriano.

“What Do Michigan’s Undecided Voters Think? We Asked Them.” City Journal finds Michigan voters frustrated with President Trump, but that this hasn’t translated into enthusiasm for Democratic candidates:

Even some participants skeptical of [Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed] acknowledged his intelligence and education, but those qualities did little to ease concerns about his judgment, temperament, and ideological priorities—or, for one Democrat who described El-Sayed as “anti-American,” his basic outlook on the country. Was he focused on Michigan’s problems? Was he too extreme?

Candidate El-Sayed’s support for Medicare for all is a hallmark of his campaign. “Medicare for All Is Popular—Until People Find Out How It Would Work” is a City Journal headline. The story examines a pilot program in Maryland that gives us a glimpse into what a single-payer plan would be like. Journalist Ashley McGuire is too young to have known JFK, but she’s on solid ground when she says to El-Sayed, who compared the Muslim Brotherhood to the Catholic Church, “You’re No Jack Kennedy.”

On the GOP front, Kimberly Strassel writes that those controversial gerrymanders could cut the losses even if the Republicans fail to hold their majority. However, some Republicans say that the candidacy of Texas Senate hopeful Ken Paxton “tests the limits of party loyalty.”

“What’s Ahead If the Polls Are Right — or Wrong,” asks Michael Barone, perhaps the most knowledgeable political chronicler in the country. There are two questions, Barone writes:

The first question is whether polls are understating Republican support, as they did in the presidential cycles of 2016, 2020 and 2024. The second is whether the move away from Republicans and toward Democrats will turn out to be a realignment away from the rough partisan parity that has prevailed for more than 30 years.

There’s another question: How do you tell if a poll is absolutely and utterly fake? And a follow-up: How do fake polls influence campaigns? Real Clear Politics is the only major news outlet that did not fall for two recent fakes. Carl M. Cannon explains why RCP rejected the fakes that respected news organizations ran with.

Legislator’s Bucket List. Prominent Virginia Democrat State Sen. L. Louise Lucas, 82, has been busted leading a criminal marijuana distribution enterprise. Ms. Lucas was joined by her daughters in the alleged criminal enterprise. Apparently, Ms. Lucas heard time’s winged chariots hurrying near:

In one intercepted phone call in February with an alleged co-conspirator who has not been indicted, Lucas allegedly said that this was their “last chance at generational wealth,” adding, “I’ve gotten too old to not be greedy.”

Would El-Sayed Be Better Off If He Just Answered the Durned Question? Hooray for J.K. Rowling’s Update: Women’s Rights and ‘Trans’ Activism. Rep. Omar: This Is Not a Trick Question. More

In a no-holds-barred final debate for arguably the most fascinating midterm race in the nation, neither candidate held back. Republican Senate hopeful Mike Rogers and Democrat Abdul El-Sayed clashed onstage in Michigan:

The neck-and-neck race is one of the nation’s most closely watched contests in the November midterms and could help determine which party wins control of the Senate. Democrats hope to take advantage of Mr. Trump’s unpopularity and voters’ frustration with inflation and the Iran War. Republicans have sought to capitalize on divisions between progressives like El-Sayed and more moderate Democrats on Middle East policy and Medicare for All. 

El-Sayed called Rogers’ platform a “MAGA vision” and argued the former congressman “stand[s] hip-to-hip with Donald Trump on all of his worst policies…. “He’s going to bend to Donald Trump because he is a sock puppet for the man,” said El-Sayed.

Rogers pushed back at one point, saying: “He wants to make this about Donald Trump. The bingo game ought to be: ‘How many times can he put Trump in any answer?'” 

El-Sayed mentioned Trump 18 times, according to Fox Digital, which dubbed President Trump “the unofficial third person on stage.” Rogers said that some of El-Sayed’s supporters are tied to Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Muslim Brotherhood. Rogers asked, “Are you for America or are you for these terrorist groups overseas?” Things became heated:

The most contentious moment of the debate came during a question on public safety, when Rogers hammered El-Sayed over his past support for defunding the police, accused him of deleting social media posts on the issue and pointed to El-Sayed’s past comments involving former Egyptian President Mohamed Morsi, who was backed by the Muslim Brotherhood.

El-Sayed fired back that it was “beneath” Rogers to question his commitment to the Constitution, declaring that he was “proud to be an American” and calling Rogers’ line of questioning “shameful.”

Rogers did not question El-Sayed’s “commitment to the Constitution”; Rogers instead asked him about alleged ties to Islamist organizations and issues, both relevant. Examiner Chief Political Correspondent Byron York raised the notion that El-Sayed’s evasiveness might be turning the tide against him:

Had el Sayed said simply, “Yes, I disavow the Muslim Brotherhood,” he might have put a quick end to the discussion. Instead, he engaged the questioner in a extended exercise in misdirection. His main strategy was to argue that questions about his family’s ties to the Muslim Brotherhood somehow violated the religion clauses of the First Amendment.

Another Senate race is suddenly in the spotlight. The Wall Street Journal’s Barton Swaim writes about “Michele Tafoya in the Red Zone,” asking if Republican Tafoya could win a Senate seat from Minnesota, which hasn’t elected a Republican to a statewide office in two decades. Swaim writes: 

… Michele Tafoya, is that rare thing in recent American politics: a strong candidate. Fans of the National Football League, of which there are many in Minnesota, remember Ms. Tafoya as for many years an NFL sideline reporter for ABC, ESPN and, from 2011 to 2022, NBC. Ms. Tafoya, an on-camera natural, has the added ability to explain policy views in crisp terms and with a smile.

Woman in the Arena. Six years after taking the controversial position that transgender activism poses a threat to women’s rights, J.K. Rowling has penned an update. It’s magnificent. Rowling says that, when she talks about trans activism, her critics often demand to know how it affects her. She responds:

It’s true, of course, that trans activism doesn’t impact all women negatively. In fact, the more privileged you are, the less it tends to affect you, and the more it might benefit you. Aside from an avalanche of death, rape and torture threats, it hasn’t noticeably affected my life. Nor does it hurt wealthy women who repost the vogueish mantras while sitting in dressing rooms guarded by private security guards.

It doesn’t hurt women in the upper echelons of media, publishing and academia, who don’t need a changing room at work and who feel a snobbish disdain for working class women who don’t want to strip off in front of heterosexual males who’ve ‘identified’ into the women’s changing room. Trans activism doesn’t hurt headline-hungry female politicians whose attitude to women’s rights is ‘whatever is good for me personally’. On the contrary, trans activism has been good for those women. It’s fashionable, and keeps them popular with their progressive tribe, and costs them, personally, absolutely nothing.

“Activist Psychiatrists Are Afraid of Evidence” in the Wall Street Journal’s Free Expression section is also concerned with the issue of “gender ideology.” A psychiatrist and the medical officer of the organization Do No Harm say that the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry (AACAP) refuses to let them discuss and put the issue on the agenda for an upcoming meeting. They write:

Aacap’s message is clear: The academy would rather circle the wagons around child gender transition than hold an open debate on whether this is good clinical practice. The annual meeting’s schedule has been released, and it includes only sessions that treat pediatric gender transition as settled science and medically necessary care. So much for balance and a diversity of views.

Okay, this shouldn’t be a hard question. Rep. lhan Omar addresses allegations she married her brother after federal raid:

Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., dismissed longstanding allegations that she married her brother for immigration purposes as “insane” during a Wednesday interview, while saying she was unaware of any familial relationship with her former husband.

“Not to my knowledge,” Omar told MS NOW’s Chris Hayes when asked whether there was any “weird kernel of truth” to allegations involving her ex-husband, Ahmed Nur Said Elmi..

Who says a billionaire’s tax won’t affect the behavior of billionaires? Mark Zuckerberg feared the billionaire’s tax so much that he threatened to leave California, but Meta’s board cut him a deal. Proponents of the billionaire tax forget that billionaires are—well—billionaires and thus more able than the rest of us to respond to destructive taxes.

Is there really a chance of peace? “A (very) small glimmer of hope that Putin will finally make peace” is the headline above a New York Post editorial. Meanwhile, David Ignatius of the Washington Post writes:

Vladimir Putin is hardly a “humanitarian,” despite the cringe-worthy homage that U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff paid to him in St. Petersburg on Wednesday. But is the Russian president ready to begin serious peace negotiations to halt the brutal war in Ukraine?

That’s what a top Kremlin aide claimed after the meeting, but we won’t know if it’s true until Russia, Ukraine and the United States begin negotiations that officials close to the talks said are tentatively set to start in November. This fledgling peace effort is at least moving in the right direction, though. For a change, the United States, Europe, Ukraine and Russia have found a framework for discussing an end to the war.

We’re learning more about a purely fabricated, fake poll. The latest poll is always a boon for lazy reporters, but it’s a good idea to verify them. A New York Post story suggests that New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani is lazy and more interested in being in the spotlight than working. Ominous lead to a Powerline post:

A hallmark of a failed state is when politicians and their supporters can’t afford to give up power, because they will be criminally prosecuted by their successors if they do. Democrats have already tried to jail Donald Trump and various other Republicans, and they are now talking openly about bringing bogus prosecutions for the purpose of deterring people–young people, specifically–from coming out as Republicans.

Ms. Must owes you something positive after that. From “American Exceptionalism Is No Myth” in Free Expression, which argues that it’s better over here:

The Brits themselves don’t seem to see it. When asked to imagine how they’d fit into the 50-state U.S. economic hierarchy, they rank themselves in the top 10. That is so far off the mark as to qualify as delusional. The U.S. contains within itself more than four dozen economic statelets that are more productive per-capita than the place that once produced Rolls-Royce, the Beatles, Harry Potter and my No. 1 guy, Daniel Day-Lewis.

Mississippi drinks their milkshake.

Whistleblower Incentive. Will Minnesota’s Welfare Fraud Elect a Republican? ‘Sarita Surge’ Leaves Tish James Looking Like Hostage Video. Columnist: French Riots Are October Surprise. Meghan Gurdon Babysits. More

The Trump administration’s war on fraud received a big boost yesterday when a whistleblower incentive was announced at a gathering in the Oval Office.

“Snitches Get Riches” in the New York Post’s headline lingo. Congrats to the program’s first reward recipient: journalist Nick Shirley, who exposed welfare among members of Minnesota’s politically powerful Somali community. Here’s what Shirley said:

It’s such an honor to be here. I want people to think about what’s happening right now. Very cool. Me, as a 24-year-old, I exposed the fraud. I was concerned about the well-being of our tax dollars, but right now I’m standing next to the president of the United States. And now people who expose fraud—there’s never been an incentive for anyone to ever expose fraud.

In fact, when I exposed fraud, instead of the mainstream media investigating the fraud, they investigated me. People actually wanted to kill me after I exposed the fraud. 

The MSM studiedly looked away from Minnesota’s widespread welfare fraud, but there are signs that the state’s voters aren’t as willfully blind. Minnesota’s massive fraud scandal could deliver a stunning Senate upset, writes Hugh Hewitt. Republican nominee for the Senate Michele Tafoya is giving Governor Tim Walz’s Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan a real race. Hewitt writes:

“This historic fraud happened under her watch, and suddenly, she’s looking out for Medicaid and SNAP? Sell it to someone else, Peggy.”

A longtime NFL broadcast professional, Tafoya demonstrated decades of quick on-camera thinking in her debate last week with Flanagan and combined it with a deft slash at Flanagan’s greatest vulnerability. …

A federal prosecutor estimated the amount of fraud in Minnesota’s spending at as much as $9 billion — that’s a “b” as in “billion.” That is a remarkable sum given the Gopher State’s population of fewer than 6 million souls and an annual budget of about $67 billion. To squander an amount equal to close to 15% of a state’s budget on thieves and con artists is staggering.

The Free Press, however, has news that will be discouraging to the GOP. “How the GOP Could Lose Texas,” by Audrey Fahlberg, notes that Democrat Senate hopeful James Talarico is leading Republican Ken Paxton in nearly every recent poll. Former first daughter Barbara Bush has “openly” donated to the Tallarico campaign.

New York Times political analyst Nate Cohn posits that the map favors Republicans, but cracks in their base are leaving them vulnerable in defending House and Senate control. Democrats are way ahead, but polling accurately is difficult:

In today’s polarized era of closely fought elections, it can be hard to believe that a party could win by that much. The skepticism is not unfounded. The polls have raised the possibility of this kind of overwhelming Republican defeat before in the Trump era, only for the polls to ultimately overestimate Democratic support in 2016, 2020 and, at least in crucial red states, in the 2018 election.

The Washington Free Beacon suggests a possible upset where you’d least expect it. “Saritha Surge Could Be Surprise in New York,” the Beacon announces. Saritha is nonpartisan law enforcement professional Saritha Komatireddy, 42, who turned in a “stunningly good” debate performance against New York AG Tish James:

Not since Sleepy Joe Biden’s national debate meltdown against President Trump has a Democratic incumbent been so devastatingly trounced. James looked like she was in a hostage video.

Meanwhile, Roger Simon asks a tantalizing question: “Are the French riots the Republicans’ October Surprise?” Simon concludes the Substack piece:

The French red-green rioters may have given us a gift by providing absolutely every Republican a great talking point in the waning days of this campaign, a talking point most normal people will respond to. As I type this, Trump is using it in Kansas. Every candidate should too. And so should we with everyone we talk to.

Frank Fured of Spiked Online regards the French riots as a frenzied assault on French civilization:

Unlike the well-known revolts of modern times, these riots seem driven by a profound sense of hatred towards France….

In the past, popular protests in Paris and elsewhere often marched under the French tricolore. But the national flag has been conspicuous by its absence during the course of these riots. On the contrary, the students, casseurs and others were much more likely to be waving the Palestinian flag. One video even shows young students vandalising a school, while draped in Moroccan flags. The preference of the protesters for flags foreign to France has highlighted their cultural detachment from French society, and their emotional distance from France’s republican values.

… In its place, cultural divisions and antagonisms have flourished. That is why the recent wave of violence has appeared as a civil-war-like attack on those citizens and institutions that have chosen to remain loyal to France. It is clear that a significant section of society – principally from immigrant communities – feels alienated from France and regards its institutions and way of life with hatred and contempt.

The Wall Street Journal’s Holman Jenkens writes in a column optimistically headlined “France Must Save Europe“:

France is too big to fail and also too big to bail out. That leaves only one realistic choice: France pulls itself together or takes Europe down with it.

“Flying the Socialist Skies at United.” United CEO Scott Kirby is the latest billionaire to jump on the millionaire tax bandwagon. An editorial in the Wall Street Journal  has a different idea:

There’s also nothing to stop Mr. Kirby from bequeathing his fortune, or donating his $32.3 million in compensation last year, to the feds. Even better, how about offering more leg room in all rows and eliminating middle seats as a gesture to the hoi polloi? We suspect he’d say that none of these suggestions would reduce inequality or the national debt. But the same goes for a wealth tax, which punishes successful entrepreneurs.

“WNBA tells Congress that Enes Kanter Freedom, Royce White are ‘both men’ in eligibility dispute.” Republican Rep. Marlin Stutzman “welcomed WNBA Commissioner Cathy Engelbert’s statement as an acknowledgment of a distinction based on biological sex.” Still, the WNBA still hasn’t defined what a woman is. It appears likely that the WNBA might decide differently in the case involving men more convincingly identifying as transgender women. But there’s yet another controversy: Two WNBA teams pointedly left the court before the national anthem. Riley Gaines, inaccurately identified as “anti-trans,” says that if you want to represent the U.S., you should stand for the anthem.

“The Smithsonian’s Dwindling Attendance” is documented by Jeffrey Anderson for City Journal. The decline in attendance took place under outgoing Undersecretary of the Smithsonian Lonnie Burch, whom Washington Post culture critic Philip Kennicott called “an enormously consequential leader.” Anderson notes:

In his 2019 book A Fool’s Errand, Bunch criticized a museum profession “awash in whiteness” and expressed his desire “to help Americans grapple with their own culpability in creating a society based on slavery.”…

We’re learning more about the Starlink slowdown that hampered military operations in Ukraine. The Wall Street Journal reports that Elon Musk gave the order after discussing Ukraine with President Trump. President Trump says he did not order the restrictions. An editorial in the Wall Street is critical of what it suggests is “Trump’s New Global Triumvirate“:

It’s hard to know what President Trump is up to at any one moment because he operates so much on tactical impulse. But he has long coveted grand bargains with Russia and China, and that may be his motivation now as he hardens his hostility to Ukraine and Europe and courts a Yalta 2 summit with Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping.

A story at The Free Press yesterday asked if President Trump might be preparing to trade Ukraine for Iran. Russia has just released American teacher Stephen Hubbard from a Russian prison. No swap necessary, said Russian strongman Vladimir Putin. Unfortunately, Putin was fresh from arresting a Japanese journalist.

And here’s something nice for you, Dear Reader. Free Expression columnist Meghan Gurdon’s column this morning is a charming excerpt from her new memoir, “Free Range Girl.” It’s about Meghan’s girlhood in Maine. The chapter is about Meghan’s first babysitting experience. A sheer delight.