BRRR. The weather outside is cold (a near record low of 4 degrees early this morning in Washington, D.C.), and the weekend could be worse, with another major storm brewing for Saturday. Wow. And D.C. (allegedly) hasn’t yet properly addressed the first snowstorm. These 12 cities will be hit hardest.
Talking about things besides the weather, we’re expecting two important things today: a Senate vote that avoids a government shutdown and President Trump’s announcement of his choice to head the Federal Reserve.
In what is probably one of the most important calls of Trump’s second term, the Fed Chair nod is expected go to Kevin Warsh. The Wall Street Journal asks whether the former Fed governor would be “a hawk or a dove.” A Wall Street Journal editorial hails Warsh as the right man for the job. Axios weighs in on the pick. The position requires Senate confirmation.
The deal to avert a shutdown is not guaranteed to pass:
But the single biggest obstacle to a deal — how long the DHS funding patch should last — was hammered out by late afternoon between Democrats and the White House. Under the deal, Washington will have two additional weeks to negotiate a compromise over how to rein in the conduct of immigration agents, who killed Pretti and one other U.S. citizen in Minneapolis this month.
The Republicans would be advised to keep a wary eye on the minority party’s proposed reforms for ICE. One, a judicial warrant requirement is “backdoor amnesty“:
By insisting on judicial warrants for all immigration arrests, Senate Democrats aren’t reforming immigration enforcement; they are eliminating it. Mere unlawful presence, a civil violation, cannot trigger a judicial arrest warrant. The result would be de facto amnesty for millions living in the interior, leaving Border Patrol and ICE with authority only at the border. This isn’t due process — it is open-borders policy wrapped in legal procedure.
Reactions to the Fed nomination and Senate vote will probably be drowned out by Minneapolis. “Trump’s accomplishments on the economy are drowned out by the Minnesota drumbeat,” argues Kimberley Strassel in a column headlined “Trump’s Cowbell Moment“:
America craved a return to Trumpian border security, just as it looked hopefully to a redux of Mr. Trump’s even bigger first-term accomplishment: economic vitality. Yet the lesson White House adviser Stephen Miller seems to have taken from border success is akin to Christopher Walken’s in the famous SNL skit: “I gotta have more cowbell.” Until a tinnitus-deranged America finally rebelled. …
Republicans began voicing concerns to the White House last fall, as stories about immigration raids, Alligator Alcatraz, National Guard deployments and daily tariff threats crowded out all else. They were reassured that 2026 would bring new focus, as the start of the reconciliation tax cuts and midterms.
Border Czar Tom Homan is in Minneapolis trying to calm tensions there. “Just give us your criminals,” is the Trump administration’s plea to Minneapolis officials, and an editorial in the Wall Street Journal calls it a reasonable request:
What the feds say they need, however, is better coordination from Minnesota officials, so that Immigration and Customs Enforcement can pick up illegal migrants who are already under arrest.
“More agents in the jail,” Mr. Homan said, “means less agents in the street.” That’s safer for both ICE and Minneapolis residents, and it also means fewer “collateral arrests.”
If you read the editorial, you’ll be hit by the chilling notion that instead of calming down a fraught situation, activists might prefer exploiting for political gain the tragedies that already have occurred.
Senator Amy Klobuchar, meanwhile, will leave her Senate seat to run for governor of Minnesota. Anti-ICE activists have already made their demands known. Klobuchar said she won’t “sugarcoat” how difficult the Trump administration has made life in Minneapolis. Well, let me say something, without sugar coating: Your big challenge, Senator Klobuchar, will not be the Trump administration but the state’s massive welfare fraud that unfolded on the watch of the Democrats. Criminal complicity can’t be ruled out.
And what a challenge. “The Real Reason Immigration and Welfare States Don’t Mix,” by Theodore Dalrymple, shows that this is particularly applicable to Minnesota, with its large Somali population. It has a lot to do with imported cultural norms:
I first began to think about this 50 years ago in Rhodesia. It was clear to me that the regime as it then was could not last, irrespective of whether or not it deserved to do so. But it seemed to me unlikely that a Western parliamentary regime would take its place. On reflection, my puzzle over why I, on my salary as a junior doctor, could live like a king, while an African doctor in precisely the same financial position could not, provided an obvious explanation.
I came from a culture in which my salary was mine to do with as I pleased; the African doctor came from a culture which imposed upon him inescapable social obligations, to his extended family, his village, his clan, obligations of which mere taxation at source did not relieve him.
This was not morally wrong; indeed, in some ways it was morally admirable; but a population of people with such inescapable obligations was not one from which a relatively honest and disinterested polity could easily emerge, especially once the worm of material envy and ambition had been introduced into it, as it had been by colonialism. A descent into a kleptocratic chaos was only to be expected.
It would not be at all surprising if Somali immigrants regarded funds for general welfare as a resource to be looted: in fact, it would be surprising if they did not. In 1994, the foremost scholar of Somali history, poetry and society, the late IM Lewis, wrote a book title Blood and Bone: The Call of Kinship in Somali Society.
Well, I used a lot of space for that, but it’s illuminating on so many levels. But now I must economize. … Holy Smoke: Former CNN personality Don Lemon has been arrested for his part in a Minnesota church invasion by an anti-ICE mob. … Let’s Radicalize the Nurses: “Zohran Mamdani’s radical DSA group givea astonishing anti-cop and ICE lecture to striking nurses,” Kirsten Fleming writes in an exclusive for the New York Post. … Teach Your Children to Spy Day: “Loophole in Birthright Citizenship Lets Adversaries Build Undetectable Spy Networks” is a chilling Daily Caller expose. … USA Today’s conservative Ingrid Jaques says we need more Senator John Fettermans. … Don’t Fight the Last War: Douglas Murray says stop thinking like it’s 2003. Iran is not Iran. Murray writes:
[T]here are a lot of differences between 2003 and today.
Not least is that today it is the Iranian people who are out on the streets protesting their own government. It is the Iranian people who have had enough of their tyrannical rulers, with their Islamic extremism and insane anti-American foreign policy that has made the country such a pariah. The Iranian people have a memory of relative freedom before the Ayatollah took charge. And many of them would like that memory to be turned once again into reality.
Just as important is the fact that one of the main reasons why the post-2003 debacle in Iraq happened was precisely because of the Iranian regime. The regime which itself is now teetering.
I want to say a few words about First Lady Melania Trump’s movie premiere for her eponymous movie last night. It sounded like fun. USA TODAY’s coverage reminded me of the informative old party reports in the Washington Post’s old Style section. (I wish the Post would bring them back.) The New York Post gave it the glam treatment. Predictably, the film, encouragingly short by today’s standards, has the Left in a hissy fit. Congratulations, Mrs. Trump!
Bad News: In “Slouching Towards Fort Sumter,” Victor Davis Hanson sees us heading for Civil War. Good News. I’m taking this to mean VDH is back after his health crisis. Rejoice, VDH fans!