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What’s Unthinkable for GOP? Hot: Rogers and El-Sayed Debate. Where in the World Is James Talarico? Avalanche of Cornell Documents. Parental Gender Fights in Two States. More

Brace yourselves.

We’ve entered that stage at which Decisions Must Be Made.

With a mere 25 days to go, GOP calculations are aimed at “avoiding the unthinkable,” according to Examiner Chief Political Correspondent Byron York. York doesn’t have much hope for the Republicans keeping the House, but the Senate might be another story. “GOP strategists have to choose some races for particular focus in the final weeks of the campaign,” writes York. “What standard should they use?” 

There’s this standard, for example:

Obviously, the first priority is to push hard in races that are close and where the Republican candidate has a good chance to win. One under-discussed example of that is Minnesota, where Republican Michelle Tafoya is running a strong campaign against deeply flawed Democratic candidate Peggy Flanagan. A Republican victory there would take away a current Democratic seat and make it much harder for Democrats to win control of the Senate. Victories to keep Republican seats in two other extremely close states, Iowa and Maine, would make it harder still.

And then York hits the reader with this standard:

Finally, Republicans might want to think of one other aspect of unthinkability. Every now and then, there is a candidate who is so unsuited for the Senate and the nation that it would be a disservice not to defeat him. In 2026, one could argue that that candidate is Abdul el Sayed, who is defending a Democratic seat in Michigan.

Senate hopefuls El-Sayed and his Republican challenger Mike Rogers debated each other last night—and wowza. “Personal attacks, Israel, and terrorism define Michigan’s caustic Senate debate” is the Examiner headline:

The barbs were unrelenting, such that, at one point, upon returning from a commercial break, the moderator said “that in 30 years of doing debates, I’ve never seen it continue during the commercial, but it did.”

Throughout the debate, Rogers — as expected — claimed that el Sayed, through people who have contributed to his campaign and family members including his biological mother, is tied to U.S.-designated terrorist organizations, including Hamas and the Muslim Brotherhood.

“You’re going after my mom,” El-Sayed responded in one of the highlights of the hostile evening. Asked whether Israel or Iran has been more dangerous to the U.S., El-Sayed dismissed the question as “hypothetical” (it is most certainly not) and equivocated that “both of them have proven dangerous in their own way.” The Free Beacon’s Alana Goodman observes of this reply:

The answer marks the latest example of El-Sayed, who has struggled with historically Democratic Jewish voters in Michigan, downplaying Islamic terrorism.

The two Michigan candidates “agreed on virtually nothing.”

Hot Air has all the barbs, big moments and bon mots.

The usually unflappable GOP moderate Senator from Maine, Susan Collins, is outraged and demanding an apology after her progressive challenger Troy Jackson accused her of making money from the Iran war. Also on the campaign—or rather mysteriously MIA from said trail—is Texas Senate hopeful James Talarico, who hasn’t been seen in public for 12 days.

According to the 37-year-old’s campaign, he’s laid up with the flu. PJ Media’s Stephen Krusier slyly suggests that laying low might be a better option for Talarico than actively campaigning.

Meanwhile, New Hampshire senatorial candidate John Sununu wants to save Social Security from insolvency. For proposing measures to steady the entitlement, an editorial in the Wall Street Journal observes, Sununu is being accused of pushing granny off the cliff. Gimlet Eyed: “Democrats talk affordability. They really want impeachment,” is USA TODAY columnist Nicole Russell’s headline this morning.

An ICE officer shot and injured a man described as a “criminal illegal alien” Thursday night. A migrant boy, age five, was unharmed in the back of the automobile. New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani is working to calm the situation—NOT. “Mamdani grandstands over ICE shooting of gangbanger ‘criminal illegal’ migrant as violent protests erupt in Bronx” is the New York Post headline:

New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani furiously called for Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to be abolished, blasting the federal agency as “rotten to its core” — after agents shot a criminal illegal migrant and alleged gangbanger in the Bronx Thursday.

Mamdani said he even tried to negotiate the release of the criminal — who has already been arrested twice in the city — with President Trump.

We are learning more about the rape allegations at Cornell. CBS News has obtained hundreds of pages of documents that shed light on Jane Doe’s allegations, the Cornell police investigation, and responses of some of the accused Chi Phi fraternity members. The New York Post has screenshots of text messages between Jane Doe and seven men accused in the case. The messages could further cloud the case:

“I don’t think we should feel any shame for the part. our body our choice asf,” [Jane Doe] added, before alluding to other people getting involved in the sex she had with Ingalls and Newell.

“yall were both super out of it and they should have taken it on themselves to leave. at the end of the day you, matt, and i were in your bed and they didn’t need to get up on that,” she wrote, finally consoling Newell again.

Controversial New York AG Tish James, incidentally, was injected into the Cornell case when Governor Kathy Hochul appointed her to investigate the incident, is facing a challenger for her job. Apparently, James’ debate with her rival did not go well:

New York Attorney General Letitia James was ambushed by her well-prepared, locked-in GOP opponent, Saritha Komatireddy, who hammered the incumbent Dem over New York’s bail laws, the rise of antisemitism and massive amounts of Empire State medicaid fraud.

While Komatireddy labeled James a “political hack” for her prosecution against President Trump, the Democrat had few answers to her opponents’ attacks besides repeatedly labeling her a “Trump puppet.”

“Could New York Elect a Republican Attorney General?” asks The Free Press. The tease: “Saritha Komatireddy hopes that New York City’s dysfunction of homelessness, subway violence, and locked-up store shelves will help her topple Letitia James, one of Trump’s biggest enemies.”

President Trump is probably too busy this year to take umbrage at the Norwegian Nobel Committee once again passing over him for the Peace Prize. The winner is Navi Pillay, a South African human rights lawyer and international. She is a supporter of the debunked (but seemingly indestructible) idea of Israeli genocide and a judge on the International Criminal Court (ICC) to which the United States—wisely—does not belong.

“Two States. Two Children. Two Fights Over Gender” in City Journal details the struggles of two families, one in Massachusetts, one in Florida:

Every day, American parents face the challenges that come with a child telling them that he or she identifies as transgender. But how that challenge is handled varies wildly depending on where the parents live. In some states, schools socially transition children in secret or even take children from parents. In others, parental rights are respected. Two such stories show how big of a difference that can make. …

My daughter needed her mother and father. She needed professional help. She needed time. And she got what she needed because our state respects parents’ basic rights. The Kutzkos’ daughter needs the same things, but Massachusetts has stopped her from getting them. Two years later, her parents are still fighting for their rights, and there’s no guarantee they’ll prevail.

I hope they do. I hope their daughter gets the love and help she needs before it’s too late. And I hope that our leaders do whatever it takes to save our children.

Highly Recommended: “Oct. 7 Is Still Testing Us,” by Matthew Continetti at Free Expression:

No, Hamas’s greater ambition was to challenge the very premises of Western civilization—our collective ability to distinguish right from wrong, good from evil, truth from falsehood.

Oct. 7 was a moral test. All too many have failed it.

The flags of the Palestinian Authority and of Hezbollah, the Lebanese Shiite militia, could be seen amid pro-Hamas crowds from Times Square to Trafalgar Square. Pro-Hamas activists occupied campuses and harassed Jewish students. Antisemitic hate crimes spiked in places where Jews had long enjoyed freedom and safety.

The divergence was astonishing. As Israel responded with purpose, resolution and force, Western societies began buckling under domestic and international pressures to reward evil and punish self-defense. 

Speech of the Year: Rubio at the Acropolis. Smear of the Year: Mamdani Oct. 7. Lomborg: Most Recycling Is a … Waste. Midterm Polls. Plague. Kimberly Guilfoyle. More

We are rarely treated to oratory as magnificent as the speech Secretary of State Marco Rubio delivered yesterday at the Acropolis.  

Rubio’s remarks were nothing short of call to the West to “revive itself by recalling its historic virtues and ambition,” according to a Wall Street Journal editorial headlined “Marco Rubio Gets to the Heart of the Matter“:

It’s the speech of the year by our lights. …

Here, in Athens, we found the first full realization of all the essential traits that would come to define the West,” Mr. Rubio said: “fierce individuality and relentless ambition; daring exploration and invention; a yearning for discovery, for adventure, risk and glory. An insatiable curiosity about the world and the principles by which it operates, a hunger to know the mysteries of nature and grasp the secrets of the cosmos.”

He then connected those traits to the West’s achievements. “This was the foundation of the Western mind: our math, our science, our medicine. Our philosophy, ethics, and religion. . . . It was the foundation of the riches of Christian theology—of Augustine and Aquinas, and the whole tradition of natural law.”

It isn’t often these days that you hear a politician speak of “the West,” much less make the essential connection between our own day and our inheritance from Athens and Jerusalem. Would that we heard it more.

The New York Post reprinted Rubio’s remarks under the headline “We Must Fight to Defend Western Civilization.”  Rubio’s Stunning Athens Speech Stops Washington Cold,” trumpets a Washington Examiner headline:

Do secretaries of state with no political ambition give sunset speeches in the most jaw-dropping settings imaginable, stirring the soul to defend civilization?

That’s the question all of Washington is asking itself today.

In a way, it’s unfortunate that the Examiner injected presidential politics into a speech that can be savored for its merits alone.

New York’s Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s oratory yesterday was a different matter. Mamdani chose yesterday, Oct. 7, the third anniversary of the deadliest day in history for Jews since the Holocaust, to post a message described as “rooted in antisemitism and hatred.” He accused Israel of “ongoing genocide” (how many times must this be debunked?).

The Free Press’ Eli Lake writes that in his October 7 smear, Mamdani “showed his true colors.” A New York Post editorial says that Mamdani “chose to play Hamas’ spokesman on Oct. 7 anniversary.” A Wall Street Journal editorial (“Celebrating Hamas on Oct. 7”) noted the “basic dishonesty” of Mamdani’s words. 

Even so, it wasn’t enough: Mamdani was “booed and berated” at an evening anti-Israel gathering. Meanwhile, a Free Expression story on Mamdani’s “fake battle against antisemitism” notices that a Mamdani plan “funnels money to organizations that preach hatred of Jews.”

Alert to all beleaguered recyclers. “Most Recycling Is a Waste,” the latest Wall Street Journal op-ed by Bjorn Lomborg, is an eye-opener. Lomborg acknowledges that “metals and some plastics are worth separating, but the rest of it is costly and can hurt the environment.” Lomborg explains:

Almost anything can be recycled if you throw enough money and energy at it. But are the benefits worth the cost?…

Yet governments have increasingly pushed citizens to recycle paper, glass and plastics worth less than the cost of collecting and processing them. Sometimes the environmental benefits made up the difference. But over time the means became the end.

A new study from Denmark’s Environmental Protection Agency shows the trade-off. Mechanical post-sorting of household trash nationwide would lift Denmark’s recycling rate by almost 5 percentage points toward EU requirements. By the usual scoreboard, that is a win.

But the costs far exceed the benefits. Each ton of carbon dioxide avoided would cost nearly €4,000. That’s almost 50 times the European carbon price, meaning emissions can be cut far more cheaply elsewhere….

Recycle what is worth recycling. Then throw away the idea that more recycling is always better.

Ms. Must is certain that Massachusetts’ Democratic Governor Maura Healey is an avid recycler. But she does seem to have had one change of heart. Healey now “pleads for more natural gas, quick. What changed her mind?” is the tease on a Wall Street Journal editorial headlined “Climate Reality Hits Massachusetts.”

“Republicans Pray for a Polling Failure” is the headline on Karl Rove’s politics column. Rove thinks that campaigns are reaching the lock-in point. Rove writes:

What about the polls? Republicans believe they are biased in favor of Democrats. One of the best GOP polling minds, Patrick Ruffini, examined this question, studying 3,312 polls from the last four elections. He found 73% of these overstated Democratic performance compared with the actual results….

If this pattern holds this year, then virtually every battleground Senate race is within the margin of error today, exaggerating the current strength of Democratic candidates. Some who look today like possible winners will lose if the pattern holds. Still, how this plays out is up in the air. “Each cycle has the potential to behave differently,” Mr. Ruffini acknowledges. Maybe this is that cycle. Or maybe not….

It’s nail-biting time for everyone, especially Republicans.

Barton Swaim astonishingly suggests that South Carolina could go blue and reiterates his view that there were better options for the GOP than Senator Darlene Graham: “Democrat Annie Andrews is showing up. Darline Graham is nowhere to be found.” Speaker Mike Johnson, meanwhile, has raised a whopping $156 million for the House GOP.

“Military ordered to be ready for possible Iran strikes as Trump weighs timing,” is an Axios headline. According to Axios, U.S. and Israeli sources say it could happen before the U.S. midterm elections and possibly the Israeli elections a week earlier. Oil prices are jumping and the Dow futures are sliding on Middle East worries.

“Here Comes the Plague Again.” No, not the headline we want to be reading. “Maybe SARS-CoV-2 was just a warm-up for Yersinia pestis,” suggests Matthew Hennessey. Yikes. But there would be differences:

At least there are no bats in this story. If people start dropping dead from plague we’ll know for sure it came from the Irkutsk Research Anti-Plague Institute. It’s a relief to think we won’t have to play the blame game this time around….

It wouldn’t take much to send society back to the edge. You know it’s true….

The only difference between this time will be the number of people willing to fight. Many—maybe most—are in no mood to get fooled again. Maybe this time it’s no foolin’. What if SARS-CoV-2 was just a warmup for Yersinia pestis? Things will get ugly fast.

“’Honey Please’: Kimberly Guilfoyle Pushed Donor to Wire $100,000 to Her Amex Account” is the attention-grabbing headline on the Wall Street Journal’s explosive story on the U.S. Ambassador to Greece. It’s a shocker:

For months, Guilfoyle had been chatting with Eric Deters, a former congressional candidate in Kentucky who was seeking her help in getting the attention of the new Trump administration on some personal tax and legal issues—and had promised payments of as much as $1 million if she was successful.

As Donald Trump Jr.’s former fiancée, Guilfoyle offered to use her sway, according to Deters and messages reviewed by the Journal. She forwarded Deters the messages she’d sent to the new Internal Revenue Service chief and updated him on her efforts to lobby the Justice Department on his behalf. 

But her confirmation was coming up, and she needed her card balance paid down before then, she said.

“Honey please I need you to get this done for me today,” she texted Deters, adding a prayer hands emoji and a PDF with bill payment instructions from American Express. “You could just send it here,” she wrote on July 3, 2025, just days before her July 9 confirmation hearing. 

Deters didn’t ultimately make the payment, telling Guilfoyle it would cost him his marriage….

Readers with a long memory will recall that Guilfoyle was formerly married to Gavin Newsom.

In other news, newly revealed FBI documents reveal that now White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles was heavily monitored in a probe launched by former FBI head Christopher Wray and Biden AG Merrick Garland. … And a Minnesota man named Sheikhdoon Abdullahi Mohamud was arrested yesterday in connection with his alleged plans for a terrorist attack on the Mall of America. Quiz: Which of the two FBI probes better served the public?

Oct. 7 Brings Out the Monsters. Green Party Embraces Antisemitism. The French Love to Riot. This Time It’s Different. Cornell & the Sexual Revolution. York on Senate Races. More

On the third anniversary of October 7, the deadliest day for Jews since the Holocaust, “SOULLESS” anti-Israel protestors plan to march on the streets of New York in support of Hamas terrorists.

New York Post columnist Michael Goodwin responds to the celebrations planned in honor of the atrocities of Oct. 7:

Groups calling themselves “anti-Zionists” say they will mark the event with rallies in Gotham and many other cities around the world.

In effect, they aim to turn Oct. 7 into an international day of joyful celebration of the butchers who carried out the initial attack, and hail their ultimate cause of eliminating the Jewish state.

“Glory to the martyrs, victory to the resistance,” say some flyers for the rallies. Some display a figure wearing a keffiyeh and an upside-down triangle, a symbol often used to signify Hamas.

Goodwin rightly calls these remorseless supporters of horror, inhumanity and savagery “monsters.”

Meanwhile, “The Israelis Who Never Left October 7 Behind” at The Free Press observes: “Three years after October 7, survivors and their families are still learning how to live with what happened.” Polina Fradkin writes:

Lihi shouted [her brother] Bar’s name, thinking he’d fallen asleep there—it was a place he regularly visited—but he didn’t answer. He had shot himself in the heart. He was 30.

“I think about the day I found him a lot,” Lihi told me. “Finding the person you know and love, a person who is so happy. . . and you’re calling his name and he’s not answering.”

“We couldn’t even cry,” she said. “We were too shocked.”

The Free Press publishes an exclusive excerpt from the new memoir of Avinatan Or, kidnapped from the Nova music festival on October 7, and subsequently held hostage in the tunnels under Gaza for 738 days. “Avinatan’s attention to detail in captivity was extraordinary; his will to live, even more so,” the editors write.

Eli Lake writes that we’re “still drowning in myths about the Gaza War,” while Brendan O’Neill of Spiked Online calls Gaza “the most liked about war in history.” Spiked also notes the U.K.’s Green Party’s embrace of antisemitism. Former Prime Minister Tony Blair writes at TFP that “Britain’s fastest-growing party has a Jewish problem.” “If you care about the future of the UK and the future of the Holy Land: Pay attention,” urges Sir Tony. What should be done with the site of the kibbutzim Hamas attacked three years ago?

The French are still rioting. A Wall Street Journal editorial refers to “France’s Bonfire of Inanities.” The problem in a nutshell: “Leftists riot in defense of a welfare state the country can no longer afford.” The editors write:

It’s easy to scoff at French rioting as its national pastime, but what’s unfolding now is different. France is approaching its most serious crisis in decades, and the disorder in the streets may be only the start.

Ostensibly the destructive rioting of the past few days is a student protest against underfunded schools. If you believe that, we have a pont over the Seine to sell you. The riots have been encouraged by politicians on the left, as Dominic Green recently reported on the Journal’s Free Expression newsletter….

The violence obscures the related crisis engulfing public finances. France doesn’t have more money to spend on schools because it doesn’t have more money to spend on anything….

France’s main problem isn’t math. It’s slow growth. The right fiscal reforms, such as tax cuts and welfare and pension reforms that encourage work and investment, would create new opportunities for prosperity. Young people would be the biggest beneficiaries. The alternative is what’s happening in the streets.

Americans can’t afford to gloat from the sidelines. U.S. debt is 100% of GDP, and its politicians can be as feckless as the French. At least the U.S. economy is growing at a healthy clip, but that could change in a hurry with the wrong mix of regulation and a ham-handed attempt to tax our way out of our fiscal hole.

The Muslim element of the French riots cannot be ignored. Brendan O’Neill calls the riots an intifada in the heart of Europe. Matt Vespa’s take: “‘From the River to the Sea’ Isn’t So Fun When It’s the Seine to the Mediterranean, Huh?“

Cornell University President Michael Kotlikoff is in the hot seat as a result of the Cornell rape allegations. Kotlikoff is now talking about “body autonomy.” Ira Stoll of the Free Beacon argues that Kotlikoff is “missing the point—in a telling way”:

It’s an illuminating message nonetheless as Kotlikoff, or his speechwriters, struggle for language to explain to themselves and the community why the events alleged by Jane Doe are wrong. The word “wrong” doesn’t appear in the statement. Maybe he doesn’t want to prejudge what happened, but given that the university already conducted a Title IX investigation and expelled two students, it seems a little late on that. It’s hard to draw moral judgment without any framework of shared moral values.

In “How the Sexual Revolution Led to Cornell,” Emma Camp of Free Expression poses an argument: “The rebels of 1968 sought ‘freedom’ from traditional attitudes. But the trade-off may be the occasional shocking failure of modern sexual culture.” A snippet:

For this is what we ask of the young people at a frat party in the post-1968 world. Both the boys and the girls are encouraged to have sex, including with strangers, including while inebriated. The only rule is that everyone must consent at all times, which sounds simple enough.

But, for a young man, this simple rule demands fine-tuned social judgment. His libido urges him to seek out as much sex as possible, as do his frat brothers, and the young male mind is addled when he is part of a pack. He must seek out certain proof of consent from young women whose signals he can’t reliably read. Is this woman he’s never met before too drunk, or just drunk enough? Does that body language indicate a “no,” even if she hasn’t said as much?

Will the Senate flip? Byron York writes that it is likely to do so, starting with the Dems taking North Carolina. Here are the Washington Examiner’s high points of the debate featuring Maine’s moderate GOP Senator Susan Collins and progressive challenger Troy Jackson. Former President Barack Obama is on the campaign trail, most notably for Senate hopeful Abdul E-Sayed. Powerline’s John Hinderaker doesn’t mince words:

The fact that Obama is willing to campaign with the radioactive El-Sayed illustrates the fact that there is no division between moderate Democrats and far-left Democrats. They are all far-left. The only division in the Democratic Party is between those who think that their constituencies are far enough left that they can come out as socialists–Communists by the ballot–and those who think that the American people are not yet “ready” for socialism/Communism, so progress toward that goal should be more gradual.

We are informed that Christa Pike, the death row inmate who survived a botched execution, is “conscious and speaking” after the ordeal. Charles Fain Lehman helpfully recalls Pike’s victim and the obscenely horrible manner in which she died. Don’t Miss. “Preparing to Fire“: The Wall Street Journal this morning publishes fascinating transcripts of audio recordings of months of warnings, confusion, and attacks in the blockade on Iranian oil exports. Iran is increasing attacks on ships, but the flow of oil and gas is also increasing. Welcome news: “Reports about taking out Los Angeles and San Diego are greatly exaggerated.”

Rage at Cornell: Rapists Walk Among Us. Allegations Political Now—And There’s No Turning Back. A Russian Lab. French Riots. What About El-Sayed’s Financial Acumen? More

“The Rage at Cornell: ‘Rapists Still Walk Among Us’.”

That’s the headline on a Free Press report on protests at the Ivy League school in the wake of an explosive rape accusation. Olivia Reingold attends the Cornell protests:

“We are known as the rape school, but we don’t have to be,” Sya Taylor boomed into a microphone before a vast crowd, her pink hair falling over her face. “We can be the students that lead a nationwide reform movement against the institutions that perpetuate rape at every single level.”

Cornell’s main building is covered in graffiti (“Smash the patriarchy!”) and windows have been broken. More than a thousand demonstrators have descended on Cornell’s campus, demanding the university President resign and proclaiming, “We are Jane Doe.”

For my money, Byron York of the Examiner has the sanest take (“The Political Path of the Cornell Rape Allegation“) on the Cornell situation. The rape allegation comes from an ugly scene at the Phi Chi fraternity house. Cornell investigated and handed down stiff penalties for several of the frat guys:

If the alleged victim, whose behavior that night precluded criminal charges against the men, wanted some retribution, or justice, for what took place, she got it: two expulsions, two suspensions, an entire fraternity chapter put out of business, and more. If she had stopped there, she might conceivably have been able to move on to living her life, with less alcohol and ketamine.

The alleged victim instead filed a massive lawsuit earlier this month, two years after the ugly incident. She sued Cornell, a bar that has served her a drink on the night in question, each of the fraternity brothers involved, the local fraternity chapter, and even her own sorority:

The lawsuit said that Delta Delta Delta “held itself out to the public, and more particularly to [the woman] herein, as possessing the proper degree of safety measure to adequately protect its members and to use reasonable care and diligence in its monitoring and policing of the [local chapter’s] house and those living in and utilizing said house.” In other words, the woman is suing her sorority for allegedly not putting a stop to her heavy drinking.

The prosecutor reopened the case and “now the matter is in a new realm — the realm of politics.” And, as York points out, it’s just getting started. Wendy Kaminer, meanwhile, finds the case of the Cornell 7 “murky”: “The fraternity members’ treatment of Jane Doe may have been morally repulsive, but it’s not clear it was criminal.”

“Missing details keep U.S. plague response on hold,” according to Axios:

Two big unknowns stand in the way of determining how serious the plague threat in Russia is and whether travel advisories, restrictions at U.S. ports of entry or other precautions are warranted.

We still don’t know which pathogen killed a Russian researcher, or how well contained it is.

Why it matters:Though public health experts say there’s no cause for Americans to panic, the episode serves as a wake-up call emphasizing the nature of global biological threats and the need for pandemic preparedness.

Fox Digital observes that the hardest hit by the bio-leak could be Russian President Vladimir Putin.  

The violent French protests started with students but quickly spread:

What happened over the past week is what always happens when school pupils protest: the movement gets hijacked by extremists of various stripes. Already, the main union behind the protests, the Union syndicale lycéenne, is a far-left organisation. Unsurprisingly, far-left tropes were apparent in the banners and slogans of those protesting – from anti-racism and the supposed need to decolonise education to the plight of Gaza and the usual ‘anti-Zionism’, which swiftly descended into anti-Semitism.

The current riots lead Dominic Green to reflect on whether the collapse of Charles de Gaulle’s France is upon us (highly recommended). The Federalist’s John Daniel Davidson sees the riots as a warning for the U.S. and other Western countries about mass immigration, which can split a country in two:

Among the “protesters,” we don’t see a broad cross-section of French society but overwhelmingly nonwhite males, immigrants and the children of immigrants. The barricades are being raised largely by Muslim youth of North African and Middle Eastern descent. Outside many schools, students weren’t chanting about funding cuts or classroom conditions, they were chanting “we are antifascists” and other such slogans. In Marseille, rioters flew the flag of Algeria and Hamas, not the tricolor. It was the same at a number of high schools that saw rioting.

RCP says our leaders should be studying what is happening in France.

Former President Barack Obama will appear at a rally to support Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed ten days before the midterms. On the other hand, Matthew Hennessey of Free Expression dubs El-Sayed “Mr. Financial Know-Nothing“:

“I’d rather an economy that makes 1,000 millionaires than one billionaire,” Abdul El-Sayed said recently in a clip featured on his X feed. Mr. El-Sayed is the Democratic candidate for U.S. senate in Michigan. “Most billionaires don’t park their money making more businesses. They park their money in the stock market. That is not meaningfully investing in opportunity. It’s just investing in other billionaires.”

Start with the numbers. The U.S. has more than 1,000 millionaires. Something like 23.6 million, actually. So we’re doing pretty well on that front. 

But here’s the critical thing: A stock market isn’t a parking garage. Nobody “parks” money in an investment with the expectation that he’ll come back later and pick it up. Investors seek return. They want action. No risk, no reward.

An educated person Mr. El-Sayed’s age should know all this. By now he should have outgrown the child’s view of financial economics, in which every transaction is hocus pocuniks and wealth goes into the stock market to hide. That he not only clings to these views but peddles them should embarrass him and alarm his supporters. Since it appears to do neither, we can only assume he—and they—are getting something useful out of their ignorance.

But impossible promises have no use. And fairy tales often end with painful lessons.

Meanwhile, “Democrats are poised for a win in the midterms — but can they govern?” ask Doug Schoen and Carly Cooperman in The Hill:

If the Democrats win, what will they do to best position themselves for 2028? Because if the Democrats do win, it will be from collecting protest votes, not from offering solutions.   

The data bears this out. According to NBC, a plurality (46 percent) of independents said their midterm vote will be “a signal of opposition to the president.” 

Peter Savodnik has an interesting piece at The Free Press headlined “The Democratic Party’s Crooked Kingmakers.” Savodnik writes about the hosts of “Pod Save America,” “who have built a media juggernaut—and are using it to channel a new progressive rage.” I want to quote this:

[I]n a mock-serious tone, [former Obama speechwriter Jon] Lovett, a co-founder of Crooked Media, which produces the podcast, declared: “I do want to get this out of the way: I denounce you.”

That elicited a chuckle from Piker, who replied: “I denounce myself as well.”

The hard-to-miss point was: All the controversy around Piker—the streamer has declared that “America deserved 9/11,” that accusations of Hamas committing sexual violence on October 7, 2023, are “rape fantasies,” that he would pick Hamas over Israel “every single time,” that the collapse of the Soviet Union “was one of the greatest catastrophes of the 20th century,” that “pound for pound” the U.S. is worse than Al Qaeda—was overblown.

Meaning it’s permissible—desirable—for Democrats to make room for Piker in their “big tent.”

Before I go, USA TODAY’s Nicole Russell has a good, measured column on the death of Renee Good at an ICE protest in Minneapolis. … President Trump says he will pay for the series of TV ads praising the president and his accomplishments. The ads were formerly paid for by the government.

The Good Guys Made Sloppy Mistakes. Anthropic Courts Religious Leaders to Sell Bizarre Fantasies. Is Higher Education Moving South? Justice Alito on Covid and Our Rights. More

In fighting terrorism, the good guys have to be right every time.

“Multiple Security Failures Allowed FlyDubai Pilot into Cockpit” is a Wall Street Journal headline. It reveals just how many times the good guys got it wrong—and several times purely because of sloppiness:

Before Hamam al-Hammami stood behind his captain on FlyDubai Flight 1073 and raised an emergency ax to begin the assault that nearly brought down the plane, there had been ample opportunity for authorities in three countries to keep him from getting anywhere near that cockpit. 

Oman had scrutinized his online habits and decided he showed too much interest in radical ideology to trust as a pilot at state carrier Oman Air, where he worked. They banned him from flying, sent him to a deradicalization program and put him in a desk job but didn’t flag their concerns more broadly, people familiar with the matter said.

When FlyDubai hired him in February, it didn’t contact Oman to vet his experience.

The last chance to stop him before the airport came in Israel. It was a low bar—pilots from countries like Oman that don’t have diplomatic relations are barred from flying to the country, so Hammami should have been stopped outright. 

Danielle Pletka takes a look at how the New York Times covered the attempted hijacking—or “altercation in the cockpit” in Times speak and concludes that the mainstream media is irredeemable.

In other news of the not-so-friendly skies, the U.S. military evacuated a dozen B-1 bombers from the RAF Fairford airbase in the UK, with a U.S. official telling Axios that the base is under threat of attack from Iran. Several dual British-Iranian citizens arrested last week are suspected of planning an attack on Fairford.

The flydubai stabbing—in which Iranian influence is suspected-and Fairford suggest that Iran might be switching its tactics to covert and deniable attacks:

The two suspected attacks are raising questions over whether Iran’s war strategy is shifting, but experts caution not to treat the incidents as equally indicative of Iranian involvement — or evidence yet that Tehran has changed its tactics.

Could New York Governor Kathy Hochul have acted in a more provocative fashion when she named New York AG Tish James to investigate the Cornell rape allegations? “Letitia James Appointed Special Council Despite Declaring Guilt of the Accused” is Johanthan Turley’s headline. This is a case that demands a meticulous and objective special counsel, not a partisan activist. But Hochul picked James. Turley doesn’t mince words:

Hochul’s appointment of James maximizes the chances of a criminal charge in the case. James has always followed the policy of the Queen of Hearts in “Alice in Wonderland”: “Sentence first, verdict afterward.”

The stunning moment in the Hochul-James presser was when James dismissively declined to comment on a Facebook post prematurely condemning the frat guys—it was her own post. A lawyer for a student has asked James to step down, considering such prior comments. Don’t count on it. Hochul is urged to call a special Albany assembly to tighten rape laws. Meanwhile, Sasha Stone has a fascinating article on what she calls the “consent trap.”

Hedge fund billionaire Ken Griffin’s $3 billion donation to start a new campus of Carnegie Mellon in Florida is a loss for New York (whose Mayor all but personally chased Griffin out of town). But Griffin’s Carnegie Mellon bet could pay off big for higher education and the growing Miami region:

Higher education is facing a series of market distortions. Public confidence in America’s universities remains low across the political spectrum. For many years, there’s been an apparent mismatch between what parents and students want and what America’s top universities have offered. Even setting aside the culture-war battles of the last decade, many students and parents seem to doubt the value of higher education, a sentiment that the disruptions of artificial intelligence could easily intensify.

But these market distortions might also create the kinds of opportunities Griffin’s donation could help Carnegie Mellon seize. Vanderbilt University, which is also establishing a campus in the Miami region, provides one case study….

Does AI model Claude have feelings? Does Claude suffer? No, but “Anthropic’s idiot savants are trying to play God while pushing frightening utopian fantasies,” Miranda Devine writes: 

The artificial intelligence company Anthropic has been busy for months wining and dining religious leaders and influencers to try to push their self-serving agenda and utopian fantasies. 

The Vatican’s response has been to pour cold water on bizarre claims that Anthropic is embarking on its own “creation story” to give birth to new sentient beings in the form of computer software.

Billionaire co-founder Chris Olah, a 34-year-old Canadian-born evangelical who has turned his back on Christianity, thinks their AI model, Claude, has feelings and a sort of moral consciousness. He’s worried about its “mental health” and believes it experiences human emotions like love and “suffers perpetually,” The New York Times reported. 

Devine mentions Pope Leo XIV’s Magnifica Humanitas encyclical on AI, which rejects the bizarre notion of machine consciousness. Devine suggests that a real threat to humanity might be Anthropic’s staff composed of “utopians who believe they are uniquely equipped to save humanity thanks to their superior intelligence and extreme wealth.” See also: Anthropic vs. the Pope.

Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito’s new book—“So Ordered: An Originalist’s View of the Constitution, the Court and Our Country”—out tomorrow. Adam J. White reviews it for the Washington Free Beacon. Alito was interviewed by Fox Sunday news host Shannon Bream yesterday. She asked the Justice about draconian Covid restrictions:

I think it was a stress test of our constitutional rights.

In other words, it put our loyalty to those constitutional rights, our dedication to those constitutional rights to the test. And one of the things that, unfortunately, it disclosed was that many people were willing to downgrade certain constitutional rights, the right to freedom of speech and the right to the free exercise of religion in particular.

They were willing to make those secondary to other things. The example of the casinos, I thought, was telling. And what I said in the speech was nothing more than what I had said in a written opinion. The governor of Nevada at that time said, the casinos are open. Come back to Las Vegas.

And so people came back to Las Vegas, and there were pictures of people in the casinos. And they were not wearing masks. Not all of them were wearing masks. They certainly were not maintaining a certain degree of separation among themselves. That was all predictable.

But, at the same time, the state had a very severe limit on the number of people who would — could attend a house of worship, no matter how big that house of worship was. A similar thing happened in New York City.

And always the sound of the midterms hurrying near. “Four ways the midterm elections could go, one month away,” by Isaac Arnsdorf at The Washington Post says Dems have polls and history on their side; Republicans have money. The Brazilian race was a shocker. Conservative Flávio Bolsonaro, son of imprisoned former President, surged to first place and will be in the Oct. 25 primary.

Two More Things. Here’s how a City Journal piece on the National Book Foundation begins:

“A good coat of paint can hide a multitude of sins,” a time-tested adage maintains. Unless that paint happens to be white—then, according to Columbia University writing professor Wendy Walters, it might have “figured into systems of erasure, exclusion, violence, and the masking of power in the social and natural world.” Walters is so exercised by white paint, for which she professes “a genuine and visceral dislike,” that she has written a 352-page book, A Dead White: An Argument Against White Paint, to be published on October 13.

Lest you think Walters’s book is just another indulgence of American academia’s bizarre notion of scholarship, the five judges enlisted by the National Book Foundation have picked A Dead White as one of ten longlisted titles for this year’s National Book Award for Nonfiction.

Joel Klein couples ed union boss Randi Weingarten and 1619’s Nikole Hannah-Jones as two women who have made public education worse in an excellent WSJ op-ed.

Moral for Terrorists: Don’t Mess with Zionists. Christa Pike’s Botched Execution. Cornell Retreads: Me Too and Tish James. Porn and Sexual Assault. Hopeful in Hormuz. More

What is the takeaway from the thwarting of what might have been Israel’s September 11?  

“The lesson of Flydubai? Don’t mess with Zionists.” That’s the Spiked Online headline for Brendan O’Neill, who was at the Tel Aviv airport as news of the attempted terror incident broke. O’Neill writes about the passengers who fought back:

This was a revolt worthy of the history books. A people’s fightback against the violent narcissism of either a suicidal freak or a murderous Jew-hater (or possibly both). This man may have craved death, and possibly loved it, but he came up against a swarm of people who far prefer life. That’s the civilisational divide distilled: worshippers of death vs lovers of life. There is something profoundly moving about the clip in which the passengers chant ‘Am Yisrael Chai’ as the plane safely lands. ‘The people of Israel live’ – in a time of untrammeled Jew hate, it’s the most defiant, life-giving cry you can make. It fortifies the hearts of those of us who love civilisation, and breaks the spirit of civilisation’s enemies.

There was humility with the bravery. …

UK foreign secretary Ed Miliband said he was ‘deeply concerned about the incident’, which was only stopped by ‘the actions of those on board’. Oh Ed, would it kill you to say something nice about Israelis?

You might also like The Washington Free Beacon’s “’A Nation Like a Lion’—Israeli Airline Passenger Heroics Avert Jihadist Terrorist Attack.” The near catastrophe exposed a gaping hole in Dubai’s airport security. Meanwhile, “Flydubai Terrorist Identified as Radical Muslim with Bizarre Practice in Front of Women.”

The New York Post gave convicted murderer Christa Pike, who survived a botched execution in Tennessee, the full tab treatment on this morning’s cover: “Die Another Day.” Pike is in critical condition with her prognosis unknown. Predictably, the accident has triggered calls to end the death penalty.

In “Am I Lying to Myself About the Death Penalty?” Charles C. W. Cooke, who (unlike Ms. Must) had not previously supported the death penalty, has a counterintuitive reaction to the failed execution—he now wonders if the death penalty is right:

The truth is that I think that Pike should be dead, and I am not at all upset that Tennessee tried to kill her. I wish it had succeeded, and I feel no qualms about this. I have read what she was convicted of — what she confessed to — which was this:

Later that night, Pike went to Iloilo’s room and told Iloilo that she had just killed Slemmer and that she had brought back a piece of the victim’s skull as a souvenir. Pike showed Iloilo the piece of skull and told her that she had cut the victim’s throat six times, beaten her, and thrown asphalt at the victim’s head. Pike told Iloilo that the victim had begged “them” to stop cutting and beating her, but Pike ….

Melanie MacDonogh writes in the London Spectator that Pike should be allowed to live. At this point, Ms. Must doesn’t disagree. The authorities indulged Pike’s wish for an all-female execution team. What kind of statement was this supposed to be? Isn’t the last meal of favorite dishes sufficient? Babylon Bee has the best take.

“Cornell brings back #MeToo” is a headline in the London Spectator. That’s not the only unwelcome returnee. New York Governor Kathy Hochul has appointed state AG Letitia James to take over the investigation of the Cornell allegations.

Does pornography help explain the Cornell assault? “Where else would young guys get the idea that women want group sex with strange men?” asks Emma Camp of Free Expression. Camp makes a good case:

In the middle of it all, I’m left wondering how this could have happened in the first place. Sexual entitlement and drug-loosened inhibitions are for sure part of the story. But there’s another likely factor that’s so far gone unmentioned in public discussion of the case: pornography.

It’s unfashionable to ask if endemic pornography use among young men contributes to some sex crimes. It’s a sign of moralist hysteria—akin to thinking videogames cause school shootings or heavy metal is turning the kids into Satan worshipers. Porn is presumed harmless, and anyone who suggests otherwise is consigned to whatever cultural trash heap Tipper Gore and the Church Lady now reside in. …

Watch enough porn, and you’ll think it’s perfectly normal for a woman to want group sex with strange men. Watch enough porn, and you’ll think it’s perfectly normal to strike a woman while you’re having sex with her.

Republican voters are panicking at the prospect of a blue wave, even as the President Donald Trump receives two plaudits from the Wall Street Journal editorial pages. The first is “Trump Has the Right Instincts on AI.” Trump knows the risks if China is left to dominate AI. The second is “The Battle of Hormuz Is Turning“:

Did you notice the sudden media realization that the oil export pressure is now working against Iran? New reports from tanker-tracking groups confirm what the Trump Administration has been saying: Adm. Brad Cooper and the forces of U.S. Central Command have turned around the battle of the Strait of Hormuz.

Data from Kpler indicate that the seven-day average for oil clearing the Strait is 14.19 million barrels a day, approaching the prewar baseline of 17.13 million. Most of what’s missing are Iranian oil exports stopped by the U.S. blockade. The recent resumption of oil flowing through the Saudi bypass pipeline, followed by accelerating loadings at the port of Yanbu to transit the Red Sea, will unlock more exports….

This is what progress looks like: Iran’s oil is blocked while the world’s oil increasingly gets through. The effect is to reduce pressure on the West and its Gulf allies while Iran must scrounge for money. The regime is rapidly running out of oil already on the sea from before or between blockades, though payments will have a longer lag. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent estimates the Iranians will deliver the last of this oil to China in mid-October.

Even The American Conservative (TAC)—steadfast opponent of the Iran war—sees “glimmers of hope in Hormuz” but with tons of caveats.

Annals of Not Free Speech. “I Questioned Transgender Ideology. Now I’m Facing Prison in France,” by Dora Moutot at The Free Press. The 411:

I went on television to debate what makes a woman a woman. Four years later, I have a criminal conviction and face new charges that could put me in prison.

Fox has a follow-up to Ms. Rachel, who has built a sprawling media empire contributing to radical causes. This is not free speech; it is indoctrinating small children behind their parents’ backs.

This Just In: President Trump reveals a possible change in what we must tell IRS that might help prevent illegal immigration. Usual suspects are apoplectic.

The Company He Keeps. Zohran Mamdani is being honored by a group that apparently has close ties with Iran. City Journal has the scoop:

But critics have long questioned NIAC’s relationship with Tehran. In a 2020 letter, Senators Tom Cotton, Ted Cruz, and Mike Braun called on then-Attorney General William Barr to launch a Justice Department investigation against NIAC and NIAC Action (its sister organization) for possible violations of the Foreign Agents Registration Act, identifying a pattern of what they called “troubling behavior.”

The senators pointed to a 2019 internal memo in which NIAC blamed the United States for an Iranian militia’s attack on a military base that killed an American civilian contractor and wounded several others. Kata’ib Hezbollah, the Iran-backed militia that carried out the attack, later stormed a U.S. embassy in Baghdad. The senators also highlighted tweets from NIAC and NIAC Action staffers pushing “conspiracy theories deflecting blame from the Iranian regime for shooting down a Ukrainian civilian airliner, killing 176 individuals.” (NIAC called the accusations “slanderous.”)

Religion News. Scientists are claiming to have discovered Noah’s Ark. The Duchess of Sussex is marketing a new chocolate-filled Advent calendar for a mere 112 pounds. Perfect. As ever, Ms. Must.